The Global Forecast using new data from to Jorgen Randers. Professor. Center for Climate Strategy. BI Norwegian Business School. Glimpse. has ratings and 33 reviews. Forty years ago, The Limits to Growth study addressed the grand question of how humans would adapt to the physical l. – A Global Forecast for the Next Forty Years is a book describing trends in global development. It is written by Jørgen Randers and is a follow-up to .

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Decades of mismanagement and denial were rooted in a misplaced belief that a consumption-led growth model underpinned by excessive borrowing would deliver prosperity for all and forever. More Reviews and Praise. randes

| A Global Forecast for the Next Forty Years, by Jorgen Randers

June 13, ISBN: From this vantage point, money shields a population from ranxers first. Most biologically-productive land will be used for human purposes. And they will be faced with new problems: From someone who is writing a book largely about the effects of climate change, and co-wrote the first Limits to Growth report, this oversight is astounding.

With this, you will no longer need to worry, and be able to cheer even the littlest victories for what they are. Most serious environmental writers who acknowledge the hopelessness of the situation uorgen conclude that we should fight anyway, because trying is the only moral option Deep Green Resistance: Consumption will stagnate and decline in some places.

A Global Forecast for the Next Forty Years – Wikipedia

The possibility of permafrost thawing and rotting, releasing methane in the process, is mentioned in passing here and there. We may use cookies to record some preference settings and to analyse how you use our web site.

The massive changes taking place will influence all people and countries, but there will be regional variations.

Put another way, CSR is an integrated, systemic approach by business that seeks to build, rather than erode or destroy, economic, social, human, and natural capital. Move to a country capable of rational, fact-based, forward-looking decision making.


In he chaired the cabinet-appointed Commission on Low Greenhouse Gas Emissions, which reported on how Norway can cut its climate gas emissions by two-thirds by Future growth in population and GDP, for instance, will be constrained in surprising ways-by rapid fertility decline as result of increased urbanization, productivity decline as a result of social unrest, and continuing poverty among the poorest 2 billion world citizens.

She was candid about a view that leaders widely hold ojrgen seldom acknowledge: Mr Randers values physical factors like climate and natural resources much more strongly than political and social factors. Jorgen Randers’ book paints a picture of the future that’s more optimistic than I expected, yet still a bit gloomy.

In short words he states: Furthermore, many of the smaller cities one to five million will be surrounded by huge urbanized areas closely connected to the infrastructure of the city. Imagine you then worked the rest of your life on bringing about more positive futures, but found to your horror that your efforts were largely in vain, and that the future developing was the future in which little was done t “” comes from a powerful emotional concept: In the bookJorgen Randers, one 20052 the coauthors of Limits to Growth, issues a progress report and makes a forecast for the next forty years.

Political factors in the whole world, and specially in China should not be undervalued this way. The book is published inforty years after the “Limits to Growth”, and for the sake of symmetry sets as its boundary.

The emissions of greenhouse gases will still be high but we will have reached drawdown.

2052: A Global Forecast for the Next Forty Years

Randers references UN recommendations [2] and gives 20 pieces of advice concerning individual behavior. His predictions may well come to be true in the short term more of the same, just worsebut he makes no effort to predict the future when things begin to unravel – politically, economically, socially, financially. Excellent book about what the world will look like.


Thanks for telling us about the problem.

The good news is that generally things are not so bad in Nevertheless, I do not believe there will be a great conscious choice to change that system before Expressions like a “benevolent dictator” is there such a thing?

At the same time, the negative effects of the current system will become clearer. To describe these past events, and the one to come, I will employ the analogy of the Tree of Life.

The process will be well under way by The author’s commentary is valuably added to by his inclusion of subject experts’ snapshots of aspects of life in Lists with This Book.

Want to Read Currently Reading Read. Most of the world’s poor will get a little richer and the middle income a little richer but they will not reach the consumer heights of the current rich–who will get a little poorer.

Type randera number you want, and get any answer you want. All told, I saw much that was worth taking to heart in this volume, but not quite as much as I had hoped.

Confronting Climate Collapse “Read and get the views of a great futurist-one with a fine track record of being right. But in this book I found an honest, concerned individual doing his best by using his skills to project the next forty for anyone might having an interest.

Despite the Fukushima reactor disaster in springthe prevailing mood in many countries in autumn remained broadly supportive of some kind of nuclear renaissance. The best bits are probably the ‘guest writer’ parts with essays from other scientists, researchers and so on. Scarcity of high-quality animal protein—partly from land-based animals and partly from fish and other products from salt or freshwater—will confront us over the next forty years.